European markets slightly lower as investors gauge economic outlook

Stocks on the move: Virgin Money up 13%, IDS down 5%

Virgin Money shares jumped more than 13% to lead the Stoxx 600 in early trade after the company reported a rise in pretax profit for the 2022 fiscal year and announced a £50 million ($59.4 million) share buyback program.

At the bottom of the index, shares International Distributions Services — trading as Royal Mail — fell 5% as the company faces further waves of damaging industrial action from workers over the holiday season.

Oil prices drop as China faces Covid concerns, Goldman Sachs cuts forecast

Oil prices fell by nearly a dollar as Covid concerns in China rose with the nation seeing the first virus-related deaths recorded since May this year.

Brent crude futures shed less than a dollar, or 0.9%, to stand at $86.83 per barrel and U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures dropped 1.09% to $79.21 per barrel.

Goldman Sachs cut its forecast for Brent oil by $10 to $100 per barrel for the fourth quarter of 2022, citing dented China demand with rising Covid concerns and insufficient details from the latest Group of 7 nations’ price cap on Russian oil.

“We believe the market has a right to be anxious about forward fundamentals,” economists led by Jeffrey Currie said in the note, adding the potential of further lockdowns in China is equivalent to the latest production cut by OPEC+.

— Lee Ying Shan

CNBC Pro: Strategist says Chinese tech stocks, like Alibaba, are ‘deeply undervalued’

This year’s 30% decline in the value of Chinese Big Tech stocks, such as Alibaba, has made them “incredibly cheap,” according to investment bank China Renaissance.

Its head of equities, Andrew Maynard, not only believes that the stock market appears to have bottomed, but also that investors may miss out on a rally if they remain underweight on China.

“Without a shadow of a doubt, being underweight China is going to cost you going forward,” Maynard said.

CNBC Pro subscribers can read more here.

— Ganesh Rao

Markets are watching for more clues on Fed hikes and the economy in the week ahead

Investors may be a bit more cautious in the week ahead, with stocks seeking direction in quiet trading and the bond market’s warnings about recession getting louder.

The Thanksgiving holiday on Thursday should mean markets will likely be quiet Wednesday and Friday. Traders will be monitoring reports on Black Friday holiday shopping for feedback on the consumer.

“It’s really a week where data dependence is the key phrase,” said Julian Emanuel, senior managing director at Evercore ISI. “The bias [for stocks] is higher unless data continues to deteriorate and the Fed stays on its hawkish slant… which has clearly been reinforced in the last 48 hours.”

Check out our full deep dive on what to expect in the week ahead here.

— Patti Domm, Tanaya Macheel

CNBC Pro: Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson predicts the S&P 500’s bottom, calls it a ‘terrific buying opportunity’

Morgan Stanley’s Chief U.S. Equity Strategist Mike Wilson says we’re in the “final stages” of the bear market, but the situation will remain challenging for a while longer.

He predicts when — and at what level — the S&P 500 will hit a “new low.”

CNBC Pro subscribers can read more here.

— Weizhen Tan

European markets: Here are the opening calls

European markets are set to open lower on Monday as investors continue to monitor the uncertain economic outlook.

The U.K.’s FTSE index is expected to open 15 points lower at 7,386, Germany’s DAX down 54 points at 14,378, France’s CAC down 17 points at 6,629 and Italy’s FTSE MIB down 54 points at 24,445, according to data from IG.

There are no major earnings Monday. Data releases include German producer prices for October.

— Holly Ellyatt

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